In Today's Market
In today's market, lending standards have returned to
the old, prudent practice of lending; meaning a
borrower must actually be able to afford the loan, have
an income, as well as have an investment in the
property. No longer can a home buyer put little to
nothing down, merely pass the "mirror test", and be
able to obtain financing regardless of income or credit
worthiness. Although
there might be a few different programs to the
contrary, conventional lenders are now looking for mid
600 or above credit, with at least 10 percent down,
with verifiable income.
The higher lending
standards
are giving rise to a rapid increase in owner financing.
Because owner financing is again becoming popular,
there are many guru's who are trying to sell their
wares by claiming owner financing is the new "magic
bullet" that will not only allow you to sell your property
instantly, but claim you can also make a fortune
by selling, buying or brokering notes.
While it
is true
owner financing is an excellent way to sell your
property, there are many myths, misconceptions and
outright falsehoods that are being conveyed as fact. In
these series of articles, I will discuss some "Do's and
Don'ts" when dealing with owner financing, while
separating fact from fiction.
Just as conventional lending has returned to
prudent lending practices, the note buying industry
also
has become more conservative. Hopefully, after
reading this you will have a better understanding of
what Note Buyers are looking for, and will be able to
make rational decisions based on reality, not
fantasies.
A little history and explanation of the Note Buying
industry might be appropriate to set the stage. A year
ago a note could be purchase AT CLOSING for
approximately 90% of the face value of the note, where
the home buyer had only a 600 credit score, with only
5% down. Sadly, these days are gone. Why? In a
nutshell because the end funders of these notes were
hedge funds, who would play games selling these
notes on Wall Street as securities. Collateral and
market conditions were secondary to yield. (It wasn't
their money)
As of this writing, these hedge funds
have been wiped out, and there is little promise they
will return in the near future. What is left are private
investors, institutions, and banks who are actually
using their own money to purchase owner financed
notes. Trust me, when you are using your own
money, you will quickly use prudent methods of
determining risk or go out of business.
Prudent Note Buyers, of course, are looking for yield,
but we are also looking at the risks that go along with
purchasing notes. Because I am a "stickler" for
definitions, let's examine a few risks successful Note
Buyers take into consideration. You should consider
these risks when taking back a note. By
addressing all of these risks, you will make your note
not only marketable, but more valuable.
Interest Rate Risk:
Possibility that a fixed rate debt instrument will decline
in value as a result of
a rise in interest rate. (Similar to INFLATION RISK)
Collateral Deterioration and Devaluation
Risk:
Possibility the collateral of a debt will deteriorate or
be devalued in price.
Repayment Risk (Credit Risk):
Possibility the borrower will not pay the obligation as
promised.
Liquidity Risk:
Chance you will need immediate cash and not be
able to sell your note at a price for least the amount
you paid. Affected by interest rate and devaluation risk.
Risk-Adjusted Discount Rate:
The rate necessary to determine PRESENT VALUE of
an uncertain stream of income. "Risk Free" rate
(Treasury Bill or CDs) plus the premium adjustment to
account for the risk involved. This is
SUBJECTIVE
With these risks in mind, let's examine general
concepts Note Buyers use to determine the value of a
note.
One of the first criteria Note Buyers look for to
determine if a note is a sound investment is LTV
(Loan to Value). In other words what was the original
loan relative to the price of the property.
For
example,
a house that sold for $100,000 where the buyer put
down 5%, would have a 95% LTV.
LTV is telling the
Note Buyer how much money the property buyer has
at risk in the property. If the note has a high LTV,
Repayment Risk is steeply increased because the
buyer has little invested in the property, and therefore
nothing to loose.
Likewise, the Collateral
Deterioration or Devaluation risk is greatly increased.
With little equity in the property, only a slight negative
market change will put the Note Buyer in an upside
down position. With little to nothing at risk, the home
buyer will merely walk away from the property. This is
what happened in the sub prime market. We Note
Buyers do not plan to make the same mistake.
Note Buyers will also apply the concept of ITV
(Investment to Value). In a nutshell, this refers a ratio
of amount a Note Buyer pays for a note, relative to the
value of the property.
For example, if a Note Buyer
wants a 70% ITV, assuming everything else is
satisfactory; the Note Buyer would pay $70,000 for a
$100,000 note with nothing down.
In this example, the
Note Buyer would have a 30% cushion to take into
consideration the Collateral Deterioration Risk and
the Repayment Risk.
The ITV might fluctuate with the
credit score of the payors. For example a note with the
payor credit of 700 will command a higher ITV than
someone with a medium 600 score. Are you
beginning to see the importance of getting as much
down as possible?
If the home buyer had put $10,000
down and carried a note for $90,000, the Note Buyer
would still pay $70,000 for the $90,000 note. (We are
back to Repayment Risk and Collateral Devaluation
Risk)
Next month, I will discuss further the criteria Note
Buyers use to determine the value of a note. You
might want to check out the "Check List for
Owner Financing" for some
money saving tips when owner financing.
If you have a question on your note or a
Note to
convert to
cash,
contact
me I
will be happy to discuss your specifics.
Copyright © H&P Capital Investments LLC
All rights reserved
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&nbs p;
Note Professor NoteBook
If you have not attended a Note Professor "How To Get
Rich with Notes" class, be sure and purchase the
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GUARANTEE!
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$39.95.
Other products are also available, including HOW TO
MAKE OBSCENE PROFITS with SMALL MONEY, and
GUIDE FOR SECOND LIENS. There is also a FREE
download of CHECK LIST FOR OWNER FINANCING.
Simply go to the NOTE
BUYERS STORE. I can think of nowhere that you
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We are still working out the bugs, so if you have any
problems, be sure to contact me.
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Tom's ECONOMIC OBSERVATION
Definition: Capitalism.
An economic concept of civilization that is based on
the private ownership (and control) of the means of
production and distribution of goods and services.
Such an institutional situation permits and inevitably
encourages the division of labor, economic
calculation, capital accumulation, technological
improvement and the voluntary social cooperation of a
market economy in which mass production is
designed for the consumption of the sovereign
masses. Capitalism is the antithesis of statism,
socialism ,communism, fascism or any other form of
collectivism, which are based on government
ownership (or control) of the means of production and
distribution, and where the state deems itself superior
to individual rights.
When applying the true definition of capitalism or free
markets, it is easy to see that our present economic
situation is not a failure of free markets, as politicians
would have you believe, but rather the result of the
abandonment of free market principles. For example,
under a free market system, a government entity like
Fannie Mae would not even be allowed to exist, much
less act in such a manner as to send the housing
industry into turmoil. The Federal Reserve System
would not exist, allowing even well intentioned men
like Greenspan and Bernanke to control the supply
and price of money, which resulted in artificially low
interest rates that triggered this entire fiasco. Contrary
to what po liticians will tell us, the markets were, and
are regulated, not only by bureaucrats, but
Congressional bodies.
By the same token, in a free market system, wealth
redistribution programs like price supports, aid to
farmers, federal grants for whatever the bureaucracy
deems appropriate, aid to dependent dictators, or any
other program a politician determines is
worthwhile.
What we are witnessing today, is not the failure of free
markets, but rather we are experiencing the results of
almost a century of abandoning free market concepts,
and replacing it with the illusion that politicians are
actually the producers, and they know better on how to
distribute goods and services than we, who produce
them.
The further we remove ourselves from
free
market concepts and embrace the principles of
collectivism, the deeper and more prolonged this
recession is going to be. It is that simple. Does this
mean not to invest in real estate or notes? Heavens
no. It merely means act accordingly and do not be
conned into believing this "stimulus" package, or any
other substitute is going over ride a law of nature.
Consumption cannot exceed production.
If you have questions, Contact
Me. I will address them
in future issues.
Copyright © H&P Capital Investments
LLC
All rights reserved
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